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Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation

15K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.4%Range (90% confident): 54.8% – 56.1%Based on 15K games
0%55.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.8% – 56.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.2%8.3%40.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...exd4
Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation
Analyzen=15K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.3%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 55.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.8% and 56.1%), based on 15K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 92.5 · Trap factor: +12.1 · n=15K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.7% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 61% → 57%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 61.1% win rate (366 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (917 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.8% win rate (1,374 games)
  • 1400-1599: 61.7% win rate (1,502 games)
  • 1600-1799: 57.5% win rate (1,260 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.8% win rate (1,804 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.0% win rate (3,129 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.4% win rate (3,792 games)
  • 2500+: 57.3% win rate (944 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Bullet (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 49.2% win rate (3,071 games)
  • Blitz: 49.3% win rate (8,581 games)
  • Rapid: 57.9% win rate (3,168 games)
  • Classical: 57.5% win rate (267 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (124 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 64.6% expected score (150 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 60.7% expected score (92 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (184 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (493 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 68.1% expected score (236 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (204 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (683 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.4% expected score (467 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 82.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (191 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 62.2% expected score (632 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 65.3% expected score (619 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (59 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 59.2% expected score (173 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (614 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 63.5% expected score (418 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 62.4% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (224 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (1,132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (398 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.8% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (420 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (2,201 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (461 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,061 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (2,316 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (385 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (490 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (360 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 73.0% expected score (92 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 15K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 61.7% win rate for white (1.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (57.9%) outperforms Bullet (49.2%) by 8.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a sharpness score of 91.7 (decisive), meaning 91.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 61.1% (90% CI: 56.9%-65.2%) win rate for white, based on 366 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 60.0% (90% CI: 57.4%-62.7%) win rate for white, based on 917 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 60.8% (90% CI: 58.6%-63.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 61.7% (90% CI: 59.6%-63.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 57.5% (90% CI: 55.2%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 43.0% (90% CI: 41.5%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 10.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 44.4% (90% CI: 43.0%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 12.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 57.3% (90% CI: 54.6%-59.9%) win rate for white, based on 944 Lichess games. Average game length is 51 moves with a 13.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.7%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.2%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.9%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 57.9% (90% CI: 56.4%-59.3%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation has a 57.5% (90% CI: 52.6%-62.5%) win rate for white (267 Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.2%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Riga Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.