What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack expected score for White?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 55.1%), based on 3.8K Lichess games.
Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack
3.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Play ThisWhite Expected Score53.8%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 55.1%Based on 3.8K games
0%53.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 55.1%
Outcome Distribution
48.5%10.7%40.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.c4
Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack
Analyzen=3.8K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness89%
Draw Rate10.7%
White Win% by Rating
Stable across ratings (~46%)
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 1200-1399: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
- 1400-1599: 58.6% win rate (13 games)
- 1600-1799: 46.3% win rate (60 games)
- 1800-1999: 47.3% win rate (287 games)
- 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (1,063 games)
- 2200-2499: 49.6% win rate (1,695 games)
- 2500+: 47.2% win rate (652 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Rapid (45%)
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- Bullet: 50.6% win rate (626 games)
- Blitz: 48.3% win rate (2,832 games)
- Rapid: 45.3% win rate (289 games)
- Classical: 47.4% win rate (27 games)
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | ||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (39 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (59 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (202 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (19 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 73.6% expected score (7 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (133 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (814 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (106 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (226 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (1,339 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (125 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (5 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (197 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (426 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (28 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Ruy Lopez51.9%
Variations (5)
Continuations (1)
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack win rate?
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack perform best?
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack better in blitz or rapid?
Bullet (50.6%) outperforms Rapid (45.3%) by 5.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack?
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack has a sharpness score of 89.3 (moderately decisive), meaning 89.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack has a 47.3% (90% CI: 42.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 287 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.1%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 9.0% draw rate.
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 10.2% draw rate.
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?
At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 44.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 652 Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 17.2% draw rate.
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-53.9%) win rate for white (626 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.8%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.9%.
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack has a 45.3% (90% CI: 40.5%-50.1%) win rate for white (289 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.9%.
Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack a good opening?
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack is statistically favors white with a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.