TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation

1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 54.5%Based on 1.9K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 54.5%
Outcome Distribution
49.6%5.8%44.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Qe2
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation
Analyzen=1.9K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.8%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 54.5%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.7% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.7% win rate (81 games)
  • 1000-1199: 58.1% win rate (113 games)
  • 1200-1399: 59.7% win rate (187 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.5% win rate (172 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.9% win rate (230 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.0% win rate (359 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (466 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.3% win rate (247 games)
  • 2500+: 38.5% win rate (18 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (54%), worst in Bullet (45%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 45.0% win rate (331 games)
  • Blitz: 49.5% win rate (1,114 games)
  • Rapid: 53.7% win rate (396 games)
  • Classical: 49.3% win rate (32 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (45 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 68.3% expected score (56 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 63.1% expected score (105 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (54 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (76 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (72 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 76.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (125 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (79 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (251 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (62 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (108 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (306 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (145 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.7%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 59.7% win rate for white (187 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.7%) outperforms Bullet (45.0%) by 8.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 58.1% (90% CI: 50.4%-65.6%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 59.7% (90% CI: 53.8%-65.5%) win rate for white, based on 187 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-60.6%) win rate for white, based on 172 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 230 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 42.7%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 359 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 41.3%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 466 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 38.1%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 247 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.5%-49.5%) win rate for white (331 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.0%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-57.8%) win rate for white (396 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Tartakower Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.7%-51.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.