TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation

1.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 54.2%Based on 1.4K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 54.2%
Outcome Distribution
45.6%13.0%41.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
14.Re3
Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation
Analyzen=1.4K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness87%
Draw Rate13.0%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 54.2%), based on 1.4K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +11.3% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.6% · Blitz best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 36%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 33.3% win rate (6 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.7% win rate (18 games)
  • 1600-1799: 36.0% win rate (111 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.3% win rate (256 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.3% win rate (386 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.5% win rate (434 games)
  • 2500+: 36.1% win rate (188 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (49%), worst in Classical (16%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 37.5% win rate (253 games)
  • Blitz: 49.1% win rate (971 games)
  • Rapid: 38.6% win rate (168 games)
  • Classical: 15.8% win rate (8 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399——
1400-1599———
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 22.8% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 34.2% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 39.1% expected score (72 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (182 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (288 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (68 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (90 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.8% expected score (309 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.9% expected score (34 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.9% expected score (107 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 31.6% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.4%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (434 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.1%) outperforms Bullet (37.5%) by 11.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a sharpness score of 87.0 (moderately decisive), meaning 87.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a 36.0% (90% CI: 28.7%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 111 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 38.3%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 256 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 40.1%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 386 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 11.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 50.6%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 434 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 10.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a 36.1% (90% CI: 30.5%-42.0%) win rate for white, based on 188 Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 37.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a 37.5% (90% CI: 32.6%-42.6%) win rate for white (253 Lichess games). Draw rate is 19.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-51.7%) win rate for white (971 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.5%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation has a 38.6% (90% CI: 32.6%-44.9%) win rate for white (168 Lichess games). Draw rate is 20.9%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Re3 Variation is statistically balanced with a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.4%-47.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.