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Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack

22K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.8%Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 53.3%Based on 22K games
0%52.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 53.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%4.9%44.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.d4
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack
Analyzen=22K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.9%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 52.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 53.3%), based on 22K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.1% win rate (76 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.3% win rate (234 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.1% win rate (711 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.4% win rate (1,560 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.2% win rate (2,898 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.2% win rate (5,172 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.9% win rate (5,921 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.1% win rate (4,297 games)
  • 2500+: 54.4% win rate (961 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Rapid (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 51.0% win rate (5,283 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (13,202 games)
  • Rapid: 48.6% win rate (3,192 games)
  • Classical: 50.5% win rate (152 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (92 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (109 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (222 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (385 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (101 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (346 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (893 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (301 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 66.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (605 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (1,736 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (514 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (910 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (3,363 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (852 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (1,117 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (3,860 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (910 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (1,344 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (2,512 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (436 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (610 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.0% expected score (318 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Continuations (1)
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack, Basque Gambit
51.3%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 22K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (961 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.0%) outperforms Classical (50.5%) by 0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 45.0%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 234 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.0%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 711 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 47.4% (90% CI: 45.3%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.7%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 54.4% (90% CI: 51.7%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 961 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.2%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.0%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-50.1%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 43.9%-57.1%) win rate for white (152 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Center Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.