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Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall

62K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.6%Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 54.0%Based on 62K games
0%53.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 54.0%
Outcome Distribution
49.0%9.3%41.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.a4
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall
Analyzen=62K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness91%
Draw Rate9.3%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 53.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.3% and 54.0%), based on 62K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.1% · Blitz best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.9% win rate (24 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.3% win rate (97 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.2% win rate (256 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.5% win rate (911 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.2% win rate (3,540 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (11,080 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.2% win rate (20,447 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.3% win rate (18,455 games)
  • 2500+: 35.7% win rate (6,722 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (50%), worst in Classical (40%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.8% win rate (12,507 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (41,447 games)
  • Rapid: 48.4% win rate (7,034 games)
  • Classical: 39.7% win rate (544 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.9% expected score (49 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (40 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (91 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (135 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 63.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (308 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (487 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (108 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (1,049 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (2,034 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (410 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (47 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (2,155 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (7,556 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (1,251 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (118 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (2,795 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (14,804 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (2,677 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.0% expected score (171 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (3,191 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (13,228 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (1,961 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (75 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (2,855 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (3,154 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (590 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (123 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 62K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (911 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.8%) outperforms Classical (39.7%) by 10.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a sharpness score of 90.7 (decisive), meaning 90.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 54.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 256 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 54.5% (90% CI: 51.8%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 911 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 35.7% (90% CI: 34.7%-36.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 51 moves with a 39.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.5%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.3%) win rate for white (41K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.4%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall has a 39.7% (90% CI: 36.3%-43.2%) win rate for white (544 Lichess games). Draw rate is 27.0%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Anti-Marshall is statistically favors white with a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.