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Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation

31K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.9%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.4%Based on 31K games
0%50.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.4%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%6.1%46.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Nd6
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation
Analyzen=31K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 51.4%), based on 31K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.7% win rate (164 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.7% win rate (508 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (979 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.2% win rate (2,157 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (4,768 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.1% win rate (8,026 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.0% win rate (8,003 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.7% win rate (5,454 games)
  • 2500+: 47.5% win rate (1,101 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 48.4% win rate (7,193 games)
  • Blitz: 47.5% win rate (17,896 games)
  • Rapid: 48.1% win rate (5,667 games)
  • Classical: 47.5% win rate (402 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (89 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (179 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (232 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 66.8% expected score (97 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (285 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (469 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (220 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (552 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (1,090 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (476 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (897 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (2,839 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (925 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (106 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,290 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (4,936 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (1,640 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (160 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,351 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (4,974 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (1,602 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.2% expected score (75 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,820 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (2,970 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (654 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (730 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (340 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Continuations (2)
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation, Berlin Wall Defense
39.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation, Westerinen Line
47.8%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 31K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (508 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.4%) outperforms Classical (47.5%) by 0.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-61.0%) win rate for white, based on 164 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 508 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 48.4%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 979 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 12.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.4%) win rate for white (7.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.1%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.0%-49.2%) win rate for white (5.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 43.4%-51.6%) win rate for white (402 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.5%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, l'Hermet Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.