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Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation

833K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.8%Range (90% confident): 46.7% – 46.9%Based on 833K games
0%46.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.7% – 46.9%
Outcome Distribution
45.0%3.6%51.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bc5
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation
Analyzen=833K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 46.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.7% and 46.9%), based on 833K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.1% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.7% win rate (42,436 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.3% win rate (92,035 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.5% win rate (139,323 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.1% win rate (163,071 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.6% win rate (163,247 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.9% win rate (139,137 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.4% win rate (70,201 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.2% win rate (20,873 games)
  • 2500+: 36.5% win rate (2,582 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.4% win rate (220 games)
  • Bullet: 45.7% win rate (215,161 games)
  • Blitz: 45.0% win rate (429,329 games)
  • Rapid: 44.3% win rate (180,178 games)
  • Classical: 40.6% win rate (8,017 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (11,782 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (18,440 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (12,031 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 57.2% expected score (160 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.4% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (24,247 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (44,566 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (22,693 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (478 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.9% expected score (75 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (33,068 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (70,085 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (34,962 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (1,133 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 64.5% expected score (54 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (38,520 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (82,078 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (39,848 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (2,571 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (38,807 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (87,723 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (34,465 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (2,240 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (34,813 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (78,637 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (24,512 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 37.5% expected score (1,170 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (21,321 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (38,674 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (9,985 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 34.5% expected score (221 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (10,616 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (8,644 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 37.9% expected score (1,586 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 34.2% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (1,987 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 36.4% expected score (482 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 28.5% expected score (96 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 25.7% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 833K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (21K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (54.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (44.0%) by 10.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 92K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 139K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 163K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 163K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 139K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 70K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 10.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 38.6%-49.5%) win rate for white (220 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.1%) win rate for white (215K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.3%) win rate for white (429K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.6%) win rate for white (180K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.2%-55.0%) win rate for white (8.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.