What is the Rat Defense: Antal Defense expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 50.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.3%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.
1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 50.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.3%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 47% → 52%
Best in Classical (52%), worst in UltraBullet (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.
The Rat Defense: Antal Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (33K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Classical (51.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (44.9%) by 7.0%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 139K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 234K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 321K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 247K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 154K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 44.9% (90% CI: 43.6%-46.3%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.
In Bullet games, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.3%) win rate for white (572K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.
In Blitz games, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.8%) win rate for white (558K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
In Rapid games, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.5%) win rate for white (124K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.
In Classical games, the Rat Defense: Antal Defense has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.0%) win rate for white (5.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.
The Rat Defense: Antal Defense is statistically balanced with a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.