Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation

13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.3%Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 54.0%Based on 13K games
0%53.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 54.0%
Outcome Distribution
48.5%9.5%42.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.g3
Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation
Analyzen=13K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness91%
Draw Rate9.5%

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.6% and 54.0%), based on 13K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 64% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 64.2% win rate (32 games)
  • 1000-1199: 68.3% win rate (68 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.5% win rate (192 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.0% win rate (524 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.3% win rate (875 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.7% win rate (1,869 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.8% win rate (3,486 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.9% win rate (4,508 games)
  • 2500+: 42.0% win rate (1,806 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (64%), worst in Bullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 48.0% win rate (3,410 games)
  • Blitz: 48.4% win rate (8,515 games)
  • Rapid: 49.1% win rate (1,318 games)
  • Classical: 58.1% win rate (113 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 72.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 74.7% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (47 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (100 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 72.4% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (123 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (293 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (99 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (243 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (487 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (126 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 69.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (427 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (1,146 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (263 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (635 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (2,419 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (409 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (1,006 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (3,185 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (295 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 62.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (900 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (834 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 79.4% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation perform best?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 68.3% win rate for white (68 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (58.1%) outperforms Bullet (48.0%) by 10.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a sharpness score of 90.5 (decisive), meaning 90.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 192 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 57.0% (90% CI: 53.4%-60.5%) win rate for white, based on 524 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 48.5%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 875 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 42.0% (90% CI: 40.1%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 47 moves with a 24.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.4%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.9%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.3%) win rate for white (8.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.4%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-51.4%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.8%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a 58.1% (90% CI: 50.4%-65.6%) win rate for white (113 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.8%.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation is statistically favors white with a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.