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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation

1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score57.3%Range (90% confident): 57.3% – 57.4%Based on 1.3M games
0%57.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.3% – 57.4%
Outcome Distribution
55.4%3.7%40.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.e4
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
Analyzen=1.3M
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 57.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.3% and 57.4%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +15.8% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.4% win rate (91,525 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.4% win rate (189,020 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.2% win rate (280,377 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.1% win rate (323,214 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.6% win rate (268,405 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.1% win rate (135,265 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.7% win rate (33,601 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.2% win rate (7,269 games)
  • 2500+: 51.2% win rate (857 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (60%), worst in Blitz (55%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.7% win rate (308 games)
  • Bullet: 55.3% win rate (233,943 games)
  • Blitz: 55.1% win rate (753,504 games)
  • Rapid: 56.2% win rate (330,573 games)
  • Classical: 59.8% win rate (11,205 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.3% expected score (34 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (21,736 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (50,160 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (19,468 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 63.2% expected score (127 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 81.2% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (38,884 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (106,255 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (43,212 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 62.8% expected score (624 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.0% expected score (56 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (48,783 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (161,120 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (68,127 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.0% expected score (2,291 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (83 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (48,463 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (187,015 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (84,131 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 62.6% expected score (3,522 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (36,216 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (155,991 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (72,829 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (3,316 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (23,945 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (74,092 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (36,022 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 65.2% expected score (1,184 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (11,237 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (15,973 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (6,242 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 76.6% expected score (136 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (3,952 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.9% expected score (2,776 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 67.8% expected score (534 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (727 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (122 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
52.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.4%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.4% win rate for white (189K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (59.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (57.7%) by 2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.2%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 92K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 56.4% (90% CI: 56.2%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 189K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 280K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 323K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.5%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 268K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 135K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.3%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 857 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 57.7% (90% CI: 53.0%-62.3%) win rate for white (308 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 55.1%-55.4%) win rate for white (234K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 55.0%-55.2%) win rate for white (754K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.3%) win rate for white (331K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a 59.8% (90% CI: 59.0%-60.6%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation is statistically favors white with a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.4%-55.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.