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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation

697K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.2%Range (90% confident): 56.1% – 56.3%Based on 697K games
0%56.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.1% – 56.3%
Outcome Distribution
54.2%3.9%41.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e6
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation
Analyzen=697K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 56.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.1% and 56.3%), based on 697K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.9% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.4% win rate (24,656 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.3% win rate (56,417 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.2% win rate (96,110 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.8% win rate (143,122 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.1% win rate (159,830 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.6% win rate (125,408 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.5% win rate (60,529 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.6% win rate (27,072 games)
  • 2500+: 49.8% win rate (4,351 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (61%), worst in Blitz (54%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.5% win rate (1,626 games)
  • Bullet: 54.7% win rate (282,064 games)
  • Blitz: 53.5% win rate (322,200 games)
  • Rapid: 55.3% win rate (88,018 games)
  • Classical: 57.4% win rate (3,587 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.0% expected score (27 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (7,274 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (12,955 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (4,380 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 66.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 64.2% expected score (101 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (19,939 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (26,921 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (9,314 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (142 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (264 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (37,440 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (44,312 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (13,588 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.9% expected score (506 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 59.3% expected score (402 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (54,632 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (68,339 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (18,685 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.3% expected score (1,064 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 63.8% expected score (538 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (61,028 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (76,253 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (20,853 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (1,158 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.0% expected score (214 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (51,049 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (58,277 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (15,322 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (546 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.1% expected score (62 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (30,265 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (25,243 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (4,831 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 65.8% expected score (128 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 75.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (16,972 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (9,076 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (989 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (3,465 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (824 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
52.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 697K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (56K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (60.5%) outperforms Blitz (53.5%) by 7.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 96K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.6%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 143K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 160K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.4%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 125K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 11.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 60.5% (90% CI: 58.5%-62.5%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.6%-54.9%) win rate for white (282K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.6%) win rate for white (322K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 55.0%-55.6%) win rate for white (88K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 56.0%-58.7%) win rate for white (3.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.2% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.