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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit

1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score64.8%Range (90% confident): 62.4% – 67.2%Based on 1.1K games
0%64.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 62.4% – 67.2%
Outcome Distribution
62.9%3.8%33.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.a3
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit
Analyzen=1.1K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit has a 64.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 62.4% and 67.2%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +28.8% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 71%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.2% win rate (7 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.8% win rate (10 games)
  • 1600-1799: 63.1% win rate (134 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.1% win rate (243 games)
  • 2000-2199: 64.1% win rate (355 games)
  • 2200-2499: 66.2% win rate (274 games)
  • 2500+: 70.9% win rate (26 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (65%), worst in Classical (9%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 65.0% win rate (247 games)
  • Blitz: 64.0% win rate (727 games)
  • Rapid: 46.9% win rate (72 games)
  • Classical: 9.1% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399——
1400-1599———
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 68.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (103 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (39 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 64.1% expected score (172 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 69.8% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 67.4% expected score (278 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 67.5% expected score (104 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 70.2% expected score (162 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
52.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit has a 62.9% (90% CI: 60.4%-65.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 66.2% win rate for white (274 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (64.0%) outperforms Rapid (46.9%) by 17.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit has a 63.1% (90% CI: 56.2%-69.8%) win rate for white, based on 134 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit has a 57.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-62.2%) win rate for white, based on 243 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit has a 64.1% (90% CI: 59.9%-68.2%) win rate for white, based on 355 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit has a 66.2% (90% CI: 61.5%-70.9%) win rate for white, based on 274 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit has a 65.0% (90% CI: 60.0%-69.9%) win rate for white (247 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit has a 64.0% (90% CI: 61.1%-66.9%) win rate for white (727 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit is statistically favors white with a 62.9% (90% CI: 60.4%-65.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.