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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System

391K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.7%Range (90% confident): 54.6% – 54.8%Based on 391K games
0%54.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.6% – 54.8%
Outcome Distribution
52.6%4.1%43.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...e6
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System
Analyzen=391K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 54.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.6% and 54.8%), based on 391K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +10.6% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.0% win rate (7,106 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.2% win rate (19,285 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.0% win rate (41,340 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.9% win rate (71,317 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.7% win rate (94,801 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.7% win rate (80,227 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.5% win rate (45,183 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.1% win rate (25,327 games)
  • 2500+: 50.7% win rate (5,993 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (57%), worst in Blitz (52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.8% win rate (2,135 games)
  • Bullet: 52.4% win rate (204,535 games)
  • Blitz: 52.4% win rate (154,833 games)
  • Rapid: 54.9% win rate (27,978 games)
  • Classical: 56.7% win rate (1,098 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (2,369 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (3,599 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (1,125 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.5% expected score (54 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (8,100 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (8,641 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (2,452 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (244 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (19,495 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (17,558 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (3,908 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 66.5% expected score (135 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (603 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (33,792 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (30,970 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (5,641 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.5% expected score (311 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (825 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (48,379 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (38,705 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (6,563 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.3% expected score (329 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (312 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (44,793 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (29,767 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (5,161 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.0% expected score (194 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (73 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (27,636 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (15,262 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (2,150 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (62 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 65.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (15,588 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (8,799 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (904 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (4,383 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (1,532 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (74 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
52.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 391K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.2% win rate for white (19K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (52.8%) by 2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 71K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 95K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 80K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.0%-54.5%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.6%) win rate for white (205K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.6%) win rate for white (155K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 54.9% (90% CI: 54.4%-55.4%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System has a 56.7% (90% CI: 54.2%-59.2%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System is statistically favors white with a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.