TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation

44K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score53.7%Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 54.1%Based on 44K games
0%53.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 54.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.1%5.2%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Qa4+
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation
Analyzen=44K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.2%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 53.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.3% and 54.1%), based on 44K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.8% win rate (2,125 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.9% win rate (4,320 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.2% win rate (5,575 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.0% win rate (6,438 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.3% win rate (7,312 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.3% win rate (6,633 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.4% win rate (5,636 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.5% win rate (5,020 games)
  • 2500+: 47.7% win rate (1,041 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (52%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.7% win rate (12 games)
  • Bullet: 51.1% win rate (9,148 games)
  • Blitz: 51.2% win rate (24,977 games)
  • Rapid: 51.0% win rate (9,377 games)
  • Classical: 51.7% win rate (586 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (457 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,186 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (479 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (813 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (2,251 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (1,238 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (1,080 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (2,722 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,677 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (92 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (1,329 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (3,125 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (1,808 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (171 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (1,475 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (3,884 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (1,771 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.2% expected score (180 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (1,148 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (4,137 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (1,270 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (77 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,331 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (3,513 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (751 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (1,010 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (3,680 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (327 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (505 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (479 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
52.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 44K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (4.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.2%) outperforms Classical (51.7%) by -0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 47 moves with a 12.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.9%) win rate for white (9.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.7%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.9%) win rate for white (9.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-55.0%) win rate for white (586 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.