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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation

29K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.8%Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 49.2%Based on 29K games
0%48.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 49.2%
Outcome Distribution
43.9%9.7%46.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nc6
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation
Analyzen=29K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness90%
Draw Rate9.7%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 48.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.3% and 49.2%), based on 29K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.0% win rate (159 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.1% win rate (460 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (819 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.9% win rate (1,638 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.0% win rate (2,853 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.5% win rate (4,424 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.4% win rate (6,215 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.7% win rate (9,098 games)
  • 2500+: 39.9% win rate (3,180 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 46.5% win rate (6,681 games)
  • Blitz: 43.3% win rate (19,104 games)
  • Rapid: 41.5% win rate (2,917 games)
  • Classical: 41.2% win rate (138 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (54 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (88 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (128 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (248 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.7% expected score (83 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (244 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (457 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (116 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (465 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (925 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (234 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (735 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (1,669 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (415 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,044 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (2,645 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (687 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (1,286 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (4,244 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (652 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,884 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (6,604 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (600 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (841 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (2,224 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (113 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 29K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 48.5% win rate for white (1.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.7%) outperforms Classical (40.5%) by 7.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a sharpness score of 90.3 (decisive), meaning 90.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 43.7%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 159 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 45.3%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 460 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 42.7%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 819 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.8%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 11.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 43.8%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 14.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.7%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.6%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.1%-48.2%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation has a 40.5% (90% CI: 33.8%-47.4%) win rate for white (138 Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.3%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Development Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.