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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation

31K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.1%Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.6%Based on 31K games
0%49.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.6%
Outcome Distribution
44.3%9.6%46.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.a4
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation
Analyzen=31K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness90%
Draw Rate9.6%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 49.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.6% and 49.6%), based on 31K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -0.4% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 27% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 37.9% win rate (13 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (64 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.3% win rate (222 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.5% win rate (741 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.3% win rate (3,173 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.0% win rate (9,706 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.7% win rate (13,577 games)
  • 2500+: 43.5% win rate (3,076 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (45%), worst in Rapid (41%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.9% win rate (6,950 games)
  • Blitz: 44.5% win rate (21,037 games)
  • Rapid: 41.2% win rate (2,440 games)
  • Classical: 44.2% win rate (149 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (51 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (135 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (180 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (429 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.3% expected score (120 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.4% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (583 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (2,175 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (379 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,633 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (7,224 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (789 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,949 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (9,597 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (997 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 62.7% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (1,530 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (1,437 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (105 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
52.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.8%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 31K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 44.7% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (44.9%) outperforms Classical (44.2%) by 0.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a sharpness score of 90.4 (decisive), meaning 90.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 42.3% (90% CI: 36.9%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 222 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 9.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 41.5%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 741 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 42.9%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.2%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 9.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.0%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.0%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 15.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 43.9%-45.8%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 43.9%-45.0%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 41.2% (90% CI: 39.5%-42.8%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 37.6%-50.9%) win rate for white (149 Lichess games). Draw rate is 20.9%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Rubinstein Variation is statistically balanced with a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.8%-44.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.