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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line

38K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.4%Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.8%Based on 38K games
0%51.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.8%
Outcome Distribution
44.8%13.1%42.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...a6
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line
Analyzen=38K
Avg Length42 moves
Sharpness87%
Draw Rate13.1%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 51.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.0% and 51.8%), based on 38K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.7% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.2% win rate (25 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.6% win rate (105 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.7% win rate (233 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.5% win rate (649 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.5% win rate (1,727 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.2% win rate (3,993 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.4% win rate (7,971 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.4% win rate (15,491 games)
  • 2500+: 41.9% win rate (7,572 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (45%), worst in Classical (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 45.1% win rate (9,199 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (25,096 games)
  • Rapid: 41.5% win rate (3,169 games)
  • Classical: 38.7% win rate (302 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (128 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (200 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (347 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.4% expected score (97 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (475 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (964 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (262 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (744 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (2,644 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (556 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (1,578 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (5,533 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (766 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (94 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (3,249 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (11,151 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (1,024 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (67 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (2,830 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (4,291 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (395 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 63.9% expected score (56 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
52.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.4%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 38K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 46.4% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.1%) outperforms Classical (38.7%) by 6.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a sharpness score of 86.9 (moderately decisive), meaning 86.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 42 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 44.6% (90% CI: 36.8%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 105 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 46.7% (90% CI: 41.4%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 233 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 46.5% (90% CI: 43.3%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 649 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 44.5% (90% CI: 42.5%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.9%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 44.4% (90% CI: 43.5%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 11.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 41.9% (90% CI: 41.0%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 25.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.0%) win rate for white (9.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.7%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 41.5% (90% CI: 40.0%-42.9%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 38.7% (90% CI: 34.2%-43.3%) win rate for white (302 Lichess games). Draw rate is 22.9%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line is statistically balanced with a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.4%-45.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.