7.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System has a 51.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 52.0%), based on 7.1K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 20% → 48%
Best in Blitz (48%), worst in Classical (39%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.1K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 48.0% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (47.8%) outperforms Rapid (46.1%) by 1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System has a sharpness score of 92.3 (decisive), meaning 92.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System has a 44.2% (90% CI: 39.9%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 362 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System has a 48.2% (90% CI: 45.8%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 10.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System has a 45.4% (90% CI: 43.4%-47.4%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.9%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System has a 46.1% (90% CI: 42.1%-50.1%) win rate for white (414 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.2%.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.