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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation

237 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score52.7%Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 58.0%Based on 237 games
0%52.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 58.0%
Outcome Distribution
48.0%9.4%42.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
10...Bd6
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation
Analyzen=237
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness91%
Draw Rate9.4%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation has a 52.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.5% and 58.0%), based on 237 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~43%)

1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1400-1599: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1600-1799: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1800-1999: 60.0% win rate (6 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.1% win rate (42 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (139 games)
  • 2500+: 41.9% win rate (45 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (60%), worst in Classical (20%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 59.5% win rate (38 games)
  • Blitz: 45.6% win rate (188 games)
  • Rapid: 47.8% win rate (10 games)
  • Classical: 20.0% win rate (1 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599———
1600-1799———
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (118 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation has a 42.6% (90% CI: 37.3%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 237 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 40.9% win rate for white (139 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation has a sharpness score of 90.6 (decisive), meaning 90.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation has a 40.9% (90% CI: 34.2%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 139 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 9.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 39.2%-51.1%) win rate for white (188 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.2%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Smyslov Variation is slightly favors black with a 42.6% (90% CI: 37.3%-47.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.