4.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line has a 49.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.7% and 50.3%), based on 4.0K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 20% → 42%
Best in Classical (52%), worst in Rapid (41%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line has a 45.1% (90% CI: 43.8%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 45.4% win rate for white (2.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (46.0%) outperforms Rapid (40.6%) by 5.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line has a sharpness score of 92.2 (decisive), meaning 92.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line has a 45.8% (90% CI: 40.3%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 218 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line has a 46.2% (90% CI: 43.6%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 990 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line has a 45.4% (90% CI: 43.7%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line has a 42.4% (90% CI: 39.1%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 597 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 12.3% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line has a 43.7% (90% CI: 41.2%-46.1%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.4%-47.6%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line has a 40.6% (90% CI: 35.3%-46.0%) win rate for white (224 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.9%.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Alekhine System, Main Line is slightly favors black with a 45.1% (90% CI: 43.8%-46.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.