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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System

702K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.4%Range (90% confident): 55.3% – 55.5%Based on 702K games
0%55.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.3% – 55.5%
Outcome Distribution
53.6%3.6%42.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nf6
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
Analyzen=702K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 55.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.3% and 55.5%), based on 702K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +11.6% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.6% win rate (67,653 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.3% win rate (117,381 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.0% win rate (145,704 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.1% win rate (145,822 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.3% win rate (114,422 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.2% win rate (67,565 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.1% win rate (26,579 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.3% win rate (13,131 games)
  • 2500+: 45.5% win rate (3,809 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in UltraBullet (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.4% win rate (336 games)
  • Bullet: 53.3% win rate (160,100 games)
  • Blitz: 53.2% win rate (364,253 games)
  • Rapid: 54.4% win rate (170,878 games)
  • Classical: 57.7% win rate (6,499 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (13,505 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (34,906 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (19,119 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (95 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (24,745 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (57,350 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (34,628 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (620 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.5% expected score (54 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (30,880 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (73,977 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (38,936 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.4% expected score (1,857 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (95 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (30,059 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (76,703 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (36,825 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.9% expected score (2,140 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (77 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (24,252 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (63,079 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (25,766 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.4% expected score (1,248 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (18,362 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (36,798 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (11,948 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (432 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (10,686 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (12,841 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (2,949 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 69.9% expected score (89 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (5,304 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (7,193 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (620 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (2,307 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (1,406 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (87 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
52.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 702K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.3% win rate for white (117K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (57.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.4%) by 6.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 54.3% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 117K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 146K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 146K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 114K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.2%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 13.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 51.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-55.9%) win rate for white (336 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.5%) win rate for white (160K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 53.2% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.4%) win rate for white (364K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 54.4% (90% CI: 54.2%-54.6%) win rate for white (171K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System has a 57.7% (90% CI: 56.7%-58.7%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System is statistically favors white with a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.