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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense

31K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.7%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 53.2%Based on 31K games
0%52.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
50.8%3.9%45.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.e4
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense
Analyzen=31K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 52.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 53.2%), based on 31K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +5.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.8% win rate (352 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.0% win rate (1,361 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.6% win rate (2,917 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.0% win rate (4,626 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.2% win rate (5,639 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.2% win rate (5,065 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.1% win rate (3,962 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.6% win rate (5,108 games)
  • 2500+: 50.0% win rate (1,912 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Rapid (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.0% win rate (11 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (13,722 games)
  • Blitz: 50.5% win rate (14,148 games)
  • Rapid: 48.7% win rate (2,917 games)
  • Classical: 49.1% win rate (144 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (140 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (167 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (44 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (646 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (557 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (154 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (1,183 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (1,377 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (348 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (1,575 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (2,344 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (671 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (2,145 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (2,658 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (788 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (45 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (2,224 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (2,311 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (506 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (1,695 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (2,003 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (247 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (2,717 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (2,242 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (137 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,397 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (489 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
52.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 31K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (2.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.5%) outperforms Classical (49.1%) by 2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 352 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.2%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.2%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.2%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-50.2%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 42.4%-55.9%) win rate for white (144 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.