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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense

1.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.4%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 56.5%Based on 1.5K games
0%54.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 56.5%
Outcome Distribution
52.2%4.3%43.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
n=1.5K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 54.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 56.5%), based on 1.5K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +9.0% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (16 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.1% win rate (66 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.1% win rate (161 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.9% win rate (241 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.0% win rate (254 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (227 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.3% win rate (182 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.8% win rate (233 games)
  • 2500+: 54.1% win rate (101 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (53%), worst in Rapid (49%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.2% win rate (707 games)
  • Blitz: 52.9% win rate (627 games)
  • Rapid: 49.1% win rate (140 games)
  • Classical: 52.9% win rate (7 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (78 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (57 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.4% expected score (84 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 62.5% expected score (119 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (104 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (107 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 62.7% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (109 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (97 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (84 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (91 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (125 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (106 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (76 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense
50.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 57.9% win rate for white (241 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.9%) outperforms Rapid (49.1%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 47.1% (90% CI: 40.7%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 161 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 57.9% (90% CI: 52.7%-63.1%) win rate for white, based on 241 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 55.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 254 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 44.2%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 227 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 43.3% (90% CI: 37.4%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 182 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 54.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 233 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 54.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-62.2%) win rate for white, based on 101 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 11.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-55.2%) win rate for white (707 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 52.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-56.2%) win rate for white (627 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 42.2%-56.0%) win rate for white (140 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense is statistically favors white with a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.