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Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation

83K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.0%Range (90% confident): 52.7% – 53.2%Based on 83K games
0%53.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.7% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
51.1%3.8%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...Nc6
Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation
Analyzen=83K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 53.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.7% and 53.2%), based on 83K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.4% win rate (10,606 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.3% win rate (8,673 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.2% win rate (11,489 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.2% win rate (13,834 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.1% win rate (13,152 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.0% win rate (11,973 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.8% win rate (9,016 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.2% win rate (3,439 games)
  • 2500+: 52.8% win rate (418 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (53%), worst in Rapid (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.6% win rate (1,026 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (32,012 games)
  • Blitz: 51.1% win rate (34,978 games)
  • Rapid: 49.7% win rate (13,822 games)
  • Classical: 53.1% win rate (762 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.3% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,778 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (5,185 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (3,559 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (70 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.9% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (2,026 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (4,087 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (2,407 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (115 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (77 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (3,344 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (5,474 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (2,496 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.8% expected score (483 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (4,499 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (6,174 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (2,402 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (276 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.3% expected score (208 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (4,829 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (6,072 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (1,873 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (170 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.8% expected score (106 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (6,399 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (4,577 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (860 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.9% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (5,878 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (2,891 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (185 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (40 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (2,849 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (510 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.5% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (410 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 29.0% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Polish Opening
52.9%
Variations (5)
Polish Opening: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Polish Opening: Birmingham Gambit
51.4%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Advance Variation
53.5%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Attack
50.7%
Polish Opening: Czech Defense
49.5%
Analyze Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate?

The Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 83K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation perform best?

The Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.2% win rate for white (3.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.5%) outperforms Rapid (49.7%) by 1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation?

The Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 48.8%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 418 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-54.2%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.9%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.6%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.4%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-56.1%) win rate for white (762 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation a good opening?

The Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.