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Polish Opening: Dutch Defense

94K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 52.4%Based on 94K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 52.4%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%3.5%46.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...f5
Polish Opening: Dutch Defense
Analyzen=94K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 52.4%), based on 94K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 57%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.4% win rate (2,062 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.8% win rate (3,295 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.3% win rate (7,309 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.4% win rate (13,443 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.9% win rate (21,641 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.5% win rate (24,386 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.7% win rate (16,468 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.3% win rate (4,843 games)
  • 2500+: 56.6% win rate (289 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.9% win rate (217 games)
  • Bullet: 50.4% win rate (39,350 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (45,105 games)
  • Rapid: 50.3% win rate (8,709 games)
  • Classical: 47.8% win rate (355 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (581 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (1,018 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (446 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (1,209 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (1,587 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (480 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (2,886 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (3,440 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (932 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 35.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.5% expected score (117 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (4,754 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (7,034 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (1,449 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.2% expected score (89 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (7,058 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (12,037 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (2,370 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (140 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 25.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (9,960 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (12,074 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (2,273 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (66 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (9,290 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (6,565 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (593 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (3,355 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (1,319 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (165 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (257 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Polish Opening
52.9%
Variations (5)
Polish Opening: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Polish Opening: Birmingham Gambit
51.4%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Advance Variation
53.5%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Attack
50.7%
Polish Opening: Czech Defense
49.5%
Analyze Polish Opening: Dutch Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate?

The Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 94K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense perform best?

The Polish Opening: Dutch Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 56.6% win rate for white (289 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.4%) outperforms Classical (47.8%) by 2.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense?

The Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.6%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 56.6% (90% CI: 51.8%-61.4%) win rate for white, based on 289 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 52.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-58.4%) win rate for white (217 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.8%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.6%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.2%) win rate for white (8.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense has a 47.8% (90% CI: 43.5%-52.2%) win rate for white (355 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Polish Opening: Dutch Defense a good opening?

The Polish Opening: Dutch Defense is statistically balanced with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.