TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System

56K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 52.4%Based on 56K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 52.4%
Outcome Distribution
49.3%5.5%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.g3
Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System
Analyzen=56K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.7% and 52.4%), based on 56K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.2% win rate (991 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.9% win rate (2,259 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.6% win rate (3,707 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.3% win rate (5,091 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.5% win rate (6,483 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.4% win rate (9,190 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.3% win rate (12,487 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.0% win rate (13,667 games)
  • 2500+: 50.2% win rate (2,490 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (50%), worst in UltraBullet (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 48.7% win rate (14,958 games)
  • Blitz: 49.6% win rate (32,779 games)
  • Rapid: 49.1% win rate (8,225 games)
  • Classical: 46.9% win rate (398 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (191 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (543 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (255 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (416 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (1,212 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (623 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 23.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (698 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (1,868 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (1,095 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (46 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (904 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (2,645 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (1,436 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,277 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (3,593 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (1,508 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (105 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (2,128 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (5,525 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (1,454 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (80 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (3,050 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (8,222 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (1,172 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (4,989 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (7,995 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (673 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,305 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (1,176 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Pirc Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Pirc Defense: 150 Attack
48.0%
Pirc Defense: 150 Attack, Sveshnikov-Jansa Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation
47.5%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Kurajica Variation
49.9%
Analyze Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate?

The Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 56K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System perform best?

The Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.6%) outperforms Classical (46.9%) by 2.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System?

The Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 45.2% (90% CI: 42.6%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 991 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.1%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.4%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.0%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.0%) win rate for white (8.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System has a 46.9% (90% CI: 42.8%-51.0%) win rate for white (398 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.4%.

Is the Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System a good opening?

The Pirc Defense: Sveshnikov System is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.