Pirc Defense: 150 Attack
34K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
50.1%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 50.5%.
Measured over 34K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 34K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 34K
- Best context
- 58.7% at 2500+ Blitz
- Worst context
- 47.7% at 1800-1999 Bullet
- Average game length
- 35 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.9%
- Draws
- 4.1%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 47.2% at 0-999, 57.5% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (48 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 64.6% expected score (57 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (18 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (154 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (233 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (65 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (301 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (580 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (191 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (34 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (598 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (1,359 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (443 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (1,327 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (3,696 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (674 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (73 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (2,434 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (7,129 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (1,138 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (54 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (3,752 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (6,437 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (667 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (1,321 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (721 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack scores 50.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.6% and 50.5% — from 34K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 34K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate?
Playing the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack, White wins 48.0%, draws 4.1% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 34K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack perform best?
The Pirc Defense: 150 Attack performs best for White at 1000-1199, with an Expected Score of 61.2% (123 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 50.3% in Blitz (20K games) against 50.5% in Rapid (3.2K games).
How sharp is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack?
The Pirc Defense: 150 Attack has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 60.6%, draws 1.2% and loses 38.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.2%. It rests on 123 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 53.4%, draws 2.1% and loses 44.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.4%. It rests on 453 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 48.6%, draws 2.3% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 49.0%, draws 3.2% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 46.3%, draws 3.4% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 5.8K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 46.6%, draws 4.3% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 48.9%, draws 4.6% and loses 46.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 51.9%, draws 6.1% and loses 42.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.0%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 47.8%, draws 3.1% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 9.9K Lichess games.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 48.0%, draws 4.5% and loses 47.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 20K Lichess games.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 48.1%, draws 4.8% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.5%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games.
What is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 49.1%, draws 8.3% and loses 42.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.3%. It rests on 185 Lichess games.
Is the Pirc Defense: 150 Attack a good opening?
The Pirc Defense: 150 Attack is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 48.0% of its games and loses 47.9%. It performs best at 1000-1199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.