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Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit

41K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.6%Range (90% confident): 54.2% – 55.0%Based on 41K games
0%54.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.2% – 55.0%
Outcome Distribution
53.0%3.2%43.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Bd7
Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit
Analyzen=41K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 54.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.2% and 55.0%), based on 41K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 14.8% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.2% win rate (3,888 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.7% win rate (6,546 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.1% win rate (8,825 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.5% win rate (8,837 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.2% win rate (6,985 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.9% win rate (4,356 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.3% win rate (1,418 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.9% win rate (321 games)
  • 2500+: 50.8% win rate (31 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (61%), worst in UltraBullet (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.8% win rate (382 games)
  • Bullet: 51.9% win rate (17,746 games)
  • Blitz: 53.2% win rate (16,666 games)
  • Rapid: 55.5% win rate (6,176 games)
  • Classical: 60.6% win rate (237 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 28.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (1,396 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (1,702 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (763 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.9% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (2,365 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (2,835 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (1,263 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 62.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (116 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (3,451 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (3,608 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (1,603 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.4% expected score (47 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.6% expected score (93 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (3,631 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (3,555 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (1,454 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.3% expected score (104 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (3,356 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (2,810 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (726 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (2,162 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (1,862 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.4% expected score (293 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 84.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (1,079 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 64.2% expected score (253 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 69.5% expected score (73 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (275 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (31 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Philidor Defense
50.2%
Variations (5)
Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit
44.3%
Philidor Defense: Berger Variation
40.3%
Philidor Defense: Bird Gambit
53.3%
Philidor Defense: Boden Variation
49.4%
Philidor Defense: Exchange Variation
50.5%
Analyze Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate?

The Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 41K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit perform best?

The Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (60.6%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.8%) by 14.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit?

The Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.2%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 56.3% (90% CI: 54.1%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 56.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-61.4%) win rate for white, based on 321 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 45.8% (90% CI: 41.6%-50.0%) win rate for white (382 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.5%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.9%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.4%-56.5%) win rate for white (6.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit has a 60.6% (90% CI: 55.3%-65.7%) win rate for white (237 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit a good opening?

The Philidor Defense: Philidor Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.