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Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit

36K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.6%Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 47.0%Based on 36K games
0%46.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 47.0%
Outcome Distribution
44.3%4.5%51.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nd7
Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit
Analyzen=36K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 46.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.1% and 47.0%), based on 36K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.1% · Classical best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.2% win rate (188 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.5% win rate (698 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.0% win rate (2,366 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.8% win rate (4,638 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (5,862 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.1% win rate (6,590 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.4% win rate (7,150 games)
  • 2200-2499: 39.1% win rate (6,802 games)
  • 2500+: 45.0% win rate (1,450 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in Bullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.7% win rate (12 games)
  • Bullet: 40.5% win rate (7,310 games)
  • Blitz: 44.4% win rate (24,157 games)
  • Rapid: 49.9% win rate (4,107 games)
  • Classical: 53.6% win rate (158 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (38 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.1% expected score (114 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 67.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (184 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (388 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (120 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 80.8% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (841 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (1,116 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (396 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (1,059 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (2,735 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (815 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 67.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (752 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (3,937 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (1,117 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (52 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.2% expected score (696 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (4,883 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (972 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 34.7% expected score (1,104 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (5,526 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (500 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 38.4% expected score (1,833 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (4,815 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (147 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (803 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (643 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Philidor Defense
50.2%
Variations (5)
Philidor Defense: Berger Variation
40.3%
Philidor Defense: Bird Gambit
53.3%
Philidor Defense: Boden Variation
49.4%
Philidor Defense: Exchange Variation
50.5%
Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation
46.9%
Analyze Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate?

The Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.8%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 36K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit perform best?

The Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (698 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (49.9%) outperforms Bullet (40.5%) by 9.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit?

The Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 41.3%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 188 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 698 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.1%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 40.4% (90% CI: 39.5%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 39.1% (90% CI: 38.2%-40.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 42.9%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 40.5% (90% CI: 39.6%-41.5%) win rate for white (7.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 44.4% (90% CI: 43.8%-44.9%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.2%) win rate for white (4.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-60.1%) win rate for white (158 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit a good opening?

The Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit is slightly favors black with a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.8%-44.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.