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Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack

167K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.7%Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 53.9%Based on 167K games
0%53.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 53.9%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%7.0%42.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Nc3
Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack
Analyzen=167K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.0%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 53.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.5% and 53.9%), based on 167K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.3% win rate (1,825 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.2% win rate (3,209 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.1% win rate (5,506 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.5% win rate (11,542 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.6% win rate (21,991 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.4% win rate (37,880 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (43,883 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.3% win rate (33,172 games)
  • 2500+: 44.8% win rate (8,396 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (52%), worst in UltraBullet (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.7% win rate (22 games)
  • Bullet: 49.5% win rate (46,003 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (97,717 games)
  • Rapid: 51.9% win rate (22,260 games)
  • Classical: 50.7% win rate (1,402 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (482 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (743 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (597 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (1,054 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (1,369 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (765 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,903 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (2,553 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.4% expected score (1,016 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (3,467 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (6,022 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (1,927 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (120 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (5,436 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (13,106 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (3,132 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (315 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (7,965 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (23,745 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (5,682 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (485 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (9,511 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (27,707 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (6,328 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (335 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (10,736 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (19,648 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (2,696 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (89 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (5,449 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (2,824 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (117 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 63.3% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
41.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
45.3%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 167K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.9%) outperforms Classical (50.7%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack?

The Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a sharpness score of 93.0 (decisive), meaning 93.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 44.8% (90% CI: 43.9%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 16.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.9%) win rate for white (46K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate for white (98K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.4%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.9%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.0%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Nimzowitsch Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.