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Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack

27K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.7%Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 51.2%Based on 27K games
0%50.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 51.2%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%4.9%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bd3
Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack
Analyzen=27K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.9%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 50.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 51.2%), based on 27K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.8% win rate (1,726 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.7% win rate (2,761 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.5% win rate (3,719 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.7% win rate (4,358 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (4,928 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.8% win rate (4,569 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.4% win rate (2,739 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.1% win rate (1,699 games)
  • 2500+: 53.3% win rate (801 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Blitz (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.5% win rate (15 games)
  • Bullet: 48.4% win rate (6,055 games)
  • Blitz: 47.8% win rate (14,426 games)
  • Rapid: 48.8% win rate (6,528 games)
  • Classical: 48.5% win rate (276 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (357 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (761 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (603 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (663 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (1,293 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (786 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 37.2% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (794 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (1,920 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (967 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (874 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (2,186 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (1,219 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.1% expected score (73 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (950 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (2,689 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (1,212 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (76 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (844 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (2,614 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (1,062 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (755 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (1,439 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (527 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (517 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (1,037 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (140 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (301 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (487 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
41.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
45.3%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 27K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.3% win rate for white (801 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (48.8%) outperforms Classical (48.5%) by 0.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack?

The Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.0%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.9%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.1%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 53.3% (90% CI: 50.4%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 801 Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 10.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.5%) win rate for white (6.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.5%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.9%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 43.5%-53.4%) win rate for white (276 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Millennium Attack is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.