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Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation

302 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score41.0%Range (90% confident): 36.4% – 45.6%Based on 302 games
0%41.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 36.4% – 45.6%
Outcome Distribution
38.1%5.8%56.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Bg4
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation
Analyzen=302
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.8%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation has a 41.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 36.4% and 45.6%), based on 302 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 9% → 40%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 9.1% win rate (4 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 15.8% win rate (8 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.5% win rate (26 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.5% win rate (58 games)
  • 2000-2199: 36.5% win rate (82 games)
  • 2200-2499: 36.0% win rate (97 games)
  • 2500+: 39.6% win rate (25 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (43%), worst in Rapid (28%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 42.9% win rate (93 games)
  • Blitz: 37.6% win rate (170 games)
  • Rapid: 28.0% win rate (36 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (3 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199——
1200-1399————
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 35.2% expected score (49 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 19.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 39.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 36.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Three Knights Game
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Italian Variation
50.9%
Petrov's Defense: Stafford Gambit
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack
51.5%
Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation
58.6%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 51.5%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 302 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 58.1% win rate for white (82 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (58.6%) outperforms Bullet (47.1%) by 11.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation has a 58.6% (90% CI: 52.4%-64.7%) win rate for white (170 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Tarrasch Variation is statistically favors white with a 56.2% (90% CI: 51.5%-60.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.