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Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation

28K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.1%Range (90% confident): 53.6% – 54.5%Based on 28K games
0%54.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.6% – 54.5%
Outcome Distribution
51.8%4.4%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Nf6
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation
Analyzen=28K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 54.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.6% and 54.5%), based on 28K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.1% win rate (648 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.5% win rate (1,495 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.4% win rate (2,778 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.6% win rate (4,501 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.3% win rate (5,371 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.9% win rate (5,100 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.4% win rate (3,954 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.1% win rate (2,945 games)
  • 2500+: 53.1% win rate (1,138 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (59%), worst in Bullet (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.3% win rate (438 games)
  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (15,568 games)
  • Blitz: 51.9% win rate (9,690 games)
  • Rapid: 53.6% win rate (2,142 games)
  • Classical: 59.4% win rate (92 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (253 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (307 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (85 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (744 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (571 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (166 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (1,333 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (1,125 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (278 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (63 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (1,987 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (1,962 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (470 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (176 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (2,296 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (2,311 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (555 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (86 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (2,689 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (1,897 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (397 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 77.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (2,678 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (1,085 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 62.3% expected score (153 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (2,514 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (375 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (33 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (1,074 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (57 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
41.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
45.3%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 28K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (5.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.6%) outperforms UltraBullet (54.3%) by -0.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 648 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.9%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 50.4%-58.2%) win rate for white (438 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.1%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.7%) win rate for white (9.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 51.8%-55.4%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.