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Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit

3.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.2%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 56.6%Based on 3.4K games
0%55.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 56.6%
Outcome Distribution
53.3%3.8%42.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.f3
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit
Analyzen=3.4K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 55.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 56.6%), based on 3.4K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +6.3% · Breakpoint: 2200-2499

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~46%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.5% win rate (15 games)
  • 1000-1199: 59.2% win rate (50 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.2% win rate (168 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.9% win rate (411 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.1% win rate (667 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.7% win rate (876 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.2% win rate (716 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (424 games)
  • 2500+: 46.8% win rate (117 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (82%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.2% win rate (7 games)
  • Bullet: 53.4% win rate (1,808 games)
  • Blitz: 52.5% win rate (1,390 games)
  • Rapid: 57.3% win rate (235 games)
  • Classical: 81.8% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 69.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (84 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 63.5% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (157 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.9% expected score (191 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 64.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (340 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (271 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 65.0% expected score (52 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 60.5% expected score (434 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (385 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (412 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (268 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (257 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (158 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (92 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (25 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
51.4%
Analyze Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 55.1% win rate for white (667 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (57.3%) outperforms Blitz (52.5%) by 4.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 55.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-61.4%) win rate for white, based on 168 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 49.9%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 411 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 55.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 667 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.0%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 876 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 716 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.5%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 424 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 39.4%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 117 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.4%-55.3%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.3%-54.7%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit has a 57.3% (90% CI: 52.0%-62.5%) win rate for white (235 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.