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Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit

3.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.5%Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 55.9%Based on 3.3K games
0%54.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 55.9%
Outcome Distribution
52.6%3.8%43.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit
n=3.3K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 54.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 55.9%), based on 3.3K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 92.3 · Trap factor: +13.4 · n=3.3K

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.2% win rate (95 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.9% win rate (198 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.9% win rate (231 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (345 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.7% win rate (533 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.4% win rate (762 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.0% win rate (594 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.1% win rate (442 games)
  • 2500+: 45.2% win rate (77 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (56%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 52.7% win rate (1,324 games)
  • Blitz: 51.9% win rate (1,592 games)
  • Rapid: 55.7% win rate (344 games)
  • Classical: 39.4% win rate (15 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199——
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 34.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (45 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 67.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (67 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (85 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 63.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 67.2% expected score (48 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (133 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (166 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (215 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (257 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (290 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (382 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (86 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (198 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (358 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (254 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (180 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 73.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (21 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
51.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 60.9% win rate for white (231 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.7%) outperforms Blitz (51.9%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 47.1%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 198 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 60.9% (90% CI: 55.6%-66.1%) win rate for white, based on 231 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.1%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 345 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 533 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.4%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 762 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 594 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 49.2%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 442 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 50.4%-54.9%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.9%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit has a 55.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-60.1%) win rate for white (344 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-54.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.