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Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit

117 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.9%Range (90% confident): 40.4% – 55.4%Based on 117 games
0%47.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 40.4% – 55.4%
Outcome Distribution
46.0%3.8%50.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.e6
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit
Analyzen=117
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit has a 47.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 40.4% and 55.4%), based on 117 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1600-1799: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • 1800-1999: 23.8% win rate (9 games)
  • 2000-2199: 35.8% win rate (25 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.3% win rate (51 games)
  • 2500+: 40.4% win rate (22 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (52%), worst in Rapid (23%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • Bullet: 37.7% win rate (37 games)
  • Blitz: 51.6% win rate (75 games)
  • Rapid: 23.1% win rate (5 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599————
1600-1799———
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 33.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.8% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
51.4%
Analyze Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 38.5%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 117 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.3% win rate for white (51 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit is slightly favors black with a 46.0% (90% CI: 38.5%-53.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.