1.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Shocron Gambit has a 51.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.4% and 53.5%), based on 1.0K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 60% → 52%
Best in Rapid (64%), worst in Bullet (48%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Shocron Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.2%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K rated games from Lichess.
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Shocron Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.2% win rate for white (298 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (48.4%) outperforms Blitz (46.1%) by 2.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Shocron Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Shocron Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 40.9%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 185 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Shocron Gambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 42.3%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 380 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Shocron Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 43.5%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 298 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Shocron Gambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 44.9%-51.9%) win rate for white (553 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.
In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Shocron Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 42.2%-50.1%) win rate for white (433 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Shocron Gambit is slightly favors black with a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.2%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.