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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation

3.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.5%Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 50.8%Based on 3.9K games
0%49.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 50.8%
Outcome Distribution
45.6%7.7%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bd6
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation
Analyzen=3.9K
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate7.7%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation has a 49.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.2% and 50.8%), based on 3.9K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 64% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 58.5% win rate (25 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (72 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.4% win rate (92 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.5% win rate (78 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.2% win rate (184 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.0% win rate (624 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (2,136 games)
  • 2500+: 44.6% win rate (704 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (64%), worst in Rapid (45%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.2% win rate (1,031 games)
  • Blitz: 45.2% win rate (2,654 games)
  • Rapid: 45.1% win rate (219 games)
  • Classical: 63.6% win rate (15 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 69.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 33.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (54 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (111 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (455 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (53 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (564 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (1,503 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (67 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (283 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (404 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation
50.0%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation
48.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation
49.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation
51.8%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 54.0% win rate for white (92 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (46.9%) outperforms Rapid (44.7%) by 2.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation has a sharpness score of 92.3 (decisive), meaning 92.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 38.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 184 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 44.1%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 624 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 43.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 704 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.3%-49.4%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.3%-48.5%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 39.2%-50.2%) win rate for white (219 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.2%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Simagin Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.