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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit

619 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.9%Range (90% confident): 42.7% – 49.2%Based on 619 games
0%45.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.7% – 49.2%
Outcome Distribution
42.6%6.5%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...b5
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit
Analyzen=619
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.5%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit has a 45.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.7% and 49.2%), based on 619 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -19.1% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 39%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.4% win rate (9 games)
  • 1600-1799: 59.3% win rate (28 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.1% win rate (82 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (137 games)
  • 2200-2499: 36.1% win rate (321 games)
  • 2500+: 38.8% win rate (41 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (82%), worst in Rapid (40%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.8% win rate (118 games)
  • Blitz: 41.7% win rate (455 games)
  • Rapid: 40.2% win rate (42 games)
  • Classical: 81.8% win rate (4 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399————
1400-1599———
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (95 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 39.3% expected score (59 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.2% expected score (246 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (30 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation
50.0%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation
48.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation
49.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation
51.8%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 619 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (321 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.3%) outperforms Bullet (52.3%) by -2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit has a sharpness score of 93.5 (decisive), meaning 93.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 40.4%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 137 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 321 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 44.8%-59.8%) win rate for white (118 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-54.1%) win rate for white (455 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation, Averbakh Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-54.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.