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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation

117 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.5%Range (90% confident): 40.0% – 55.0%Based on 117 games
0%47.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 40.0% – 55.0%
Outcome Distribution
45.1%4.6%50.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...e5
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation
Analyzen=117
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation has a 47.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 40.0% and 55.0%), based on 117 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 39%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 47.4% win rate (8 games)
  • 1200-1399: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.1% win rate (10 games)
  • 1600-1799: 31.4% win rate (16 games)
  • 1800-1999: 31.4% win rate (16 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 2200-2499: 59.3% win rate (28 games)
  • 2500+: 38.5% win rate (5 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (62%), worst in Classical (14%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 62.3% win rate (25 games)
  • Blitz: 40.4% win rate (69 games)
  • Rapid: 42.2% win rate (21 games)
  • Classical: 14.3% win rate (2 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199——
1200-1399————
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 83.4% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation
50.0%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation
48.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation
49.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation
51.8%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 42.7%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 117 rated games from Lichess.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, San Remo Variation is slightly favors black with a 50.2% (90% CI: 42.7%-57.7%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.