TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line

632 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score42.2%Range (90% confident): 39.0% – 45.4%Based on 632 games
0%42.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 39.0% – 45.4%
Outcome Distribution
40.0%4.3%55.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Ne4
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line
Analyzen=632
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line has a 42.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 39.0% and 45.4%), based on 632 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 57% → 60%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.5% win rate (10 games)
  • 1000-1199: 36.8% win rate (46 games)
  • 1200-1399: 36.5% win rate (104 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.9% win rate (145 games)
  • 1600-1799: 37.8% win rate (172 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.6% win rate (113 games)
  • 2000-2199: 39.0% win rate (28 games)
  • 2200-2499: 24.1% win rate (13 games)
  • 2500+: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (41%), worst in Classical (16%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 39.1% win rate (97 games)
  • Blitz: 40.1% win rate (356 games)
  • Rapid: 41.4% win rate (171 games)
  • Classical: 15.8% win rate (8 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 35.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 36.4% expected score (68 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 33.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (74 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 25.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 39.7% expected score (100 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (55 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 72.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (58 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 22.8% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 18.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line has a 40.0% (90% CI: 36.8%-43.2%) win rate for white, based on 632 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 47.6% win rate for white (113 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (40.1%) outperforms Bullet (39.1%) by 1.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line has a 36.5% (90% CI: 29.0%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 104 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line has a 39.9% (90% CI: 33.4%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 145 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line has a 37.8% (90% CI: 31.8%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 172 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line has a 47.6% (90% CI: 40.0%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 9.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line has a 40.1% (90% CI: 35.9%-44.4%) win rate for white (356 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line has a 41.4% (90% CI: 35.4%-47.7%) win rate for white (171 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Noa Variation, Main Line is slightly favors black with a 40.0% (90% CI: 36.8%-43.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.