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Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3

14K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 53.9%Based on 14K games
0%53.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 53.9%
Outcome Distribution
50.4%5.6%44.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...d5
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3
Analyzen=14K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 53.9%), based on 14K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.6% win rate (80 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.1% win rate (214 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.8% win rate (490 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.9% win rate (1,094 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (1,972 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.6% win rate (3,265 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (3,385 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.6% win rate (2,533 games)
  • 2500+: 47.8% win rate (615 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (12 games)
  • Bullet: 51.1% win rate (3,602 games)
  • Blitz: 50.8% win rate (7,802 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (2,099 games)
  • Classical: 45.0% win rate (133 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 60.5% expected score (51 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (50 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (129 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.1% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (122 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (250 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (111 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (254 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (611 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (204 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (441 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (1,163 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (337 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (576 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (2,031 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (607 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (754 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (2,100 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (507 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (949 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (1,293 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (284 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (436 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (174 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation
51.0%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Modern Defense
49.3%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense
49.9%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation
49.4%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation
50.1%
Analyze Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 perform best?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 50.6% win rate for white (3.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.8%) outperforms Classical (45.0%) by 5.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 47.1% (90% CI: 41.5%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 214 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.1%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 490 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.0%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 47.8% (90% CI: 44.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 615 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.5% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-52.5%) win rate for white (3.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.8%) win rate for white (7.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.4%-49.9%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 has a 45.0% (90% CI: 38.0%-52.1%) win rate for white (133 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 a good opening?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: with g3 is statistically favors white with a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.