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Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense

367K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.1%Range (90% confident): 53.0% – 53.3%Based on 367K games
0%53.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.0% – 53.3%
Outcome Distribution
49.9%6.4%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...d5
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense
Analyzen=367K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.4%

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 53.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.0% and 53.3%), based on 367K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.4% win rate (414 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.9% win rate (1,662 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.7% win rate (4,167 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.0% win rate (10,791 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.0% win rate (25,570 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.5% win rate (61,744 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.4% win rate (108,804 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.1% win rate (116,654 games)
  • 2500+: 51.6% win rate (36,855 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.8% win rate (500 games)
  • Bullet: 51.1% win rate (161,115 games)
  • Blitz: 49.3% win rate (178,264 games)
  • Rapid: 47.7% win rate (25,646 games)
  • Classical: 45.1% win rate (1,136 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (148 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (221 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (690 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (770 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (199 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (1,764 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (1,829 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (532 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.6% expected score (44 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (3,842 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (5,448 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,396 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (61 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 62.8% expected score (112 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (8,095 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (14,284 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (2,942 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (137 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.5% expected score (137 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (17,487 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (37,391 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (6,359 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (370 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.5% expected score (129 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (35,570 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (64,158 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (8,561 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (386 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (56 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (62,670 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (48,479 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (5,317 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (132 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (30,849 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (5,684 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.7% expected score (295 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (25 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation
51.0%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Modern Defense
49.3%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation
49.4%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation
50.1%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation
50.0%
Analyze Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 367K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense perform best?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (37K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.1%) outperforms Classical (45.1%) by 6.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a sharpness score of 93.6 (decisive), meaning 93.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 46.4%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 414 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 48.9%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 109K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 117K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 8.5% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-53.4%) win rate for white (500 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.3%) win rate for white (161K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.5%) win rate for white (178K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.2%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.4%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense has a 45.1% (90% CI: 42.6%-47.5%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 14.3%.

Is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense a good opening?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense is statistically favors white with a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.