What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 51.0%), based on 558K Lichess games.
558K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 51.0%), based on 558K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 46% → 50%
Best in Classical (50%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 558K rated games from Lichess.
The Modern Defense: Bishop Attack performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (77K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (49.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (46.7%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 101K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 131K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 121K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.0%-48.4%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.
In Bullet games, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white (198K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.
In Blitz games, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.7%) win rate for white (290K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
In Rapid games, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.9%) win rate for white (66K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.
In Classical games, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.9%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
The Modern Defense: Bishop Attack is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.