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Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch

28K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.4%Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.9%Based on 28K games
0%51.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.9%
Outcome Distribution
49.5%3.7%46.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.f3
Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch
Analyzen=28K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 51.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.9% and 51.9%), based on 28K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 52% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.3% win rate (137 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.3% win rate (550 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (1,076 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (2,168 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.9% win rate (4,697 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.4% win rate (8,342 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.7% win rate (7,371 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.2% win rate (3,815 games)
  • 2500+: 56.3% win rate (335 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (51%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (10,594 games)
  • Blitz: 49.2% win rate (15,115 games)
  • Rapid: 49.5% win rate (2,671 games)
  • Classical: 50.7% win rate (110 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (41 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (73 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (221 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (265 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (64 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (465 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (488 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (122 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (700 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (1,246 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (209 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (1,654 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (2,654 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (366 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (3,132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (4,274 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (879 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (57 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (2,514 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (4,059 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (781 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,629 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (1,967 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (219 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (238 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (89 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 71.1% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Modern Defense
48.7%
Variations (5)
Modern Defense: Anti-Modern
53.1%
Modern Defense: Averbakh System
49.0%
Modern Defense: Beefeater Variation
45.4%
Modern Defense: Bishop Attack
49.2%
Modern Defense: Bishop Attack, Bücker Gambit
45.9%
Analyze Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate?

The Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 28K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch perform best?

The Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (335 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.8%) outperforms Classical (50.7%) by -0.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch?

The Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 52.3% (90% CI: 45.4%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 137 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 44.3% (90% CI: 40.9%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 550 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.7%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 56.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-60.7%) win rate for white, based on 335 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.6%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.9%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.9%-51.1%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch has a 50.7% (90% CI: 42.9%-58.4%) win rate for white (110 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.

Is the Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch a good opening?

The Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch is statistically balanced with a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.