TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit

11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score56.9%Range (90% confident): 56.1% – 57.7%Based on 11K games
0%56.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.1% – 57.7%
Outcome Distribution
55.4%3.0%41.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nxc4
Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit
Analyzen=11K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 56.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.1% and 57.7%), based on 11K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.5% win rate (499 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.0% win rate (1,155 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.0% win rate (1,863 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.3% win rate (2,206 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.4% win rate (1,975 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.7% win rate (1,590 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.6% win rate (870 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.2% win rate (369 games)
  • 2500+: 43.7% win rate (34 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (58%), worst in Classical (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.5% win rate (62 games)
  • Bullet: 54.4% win rate (6,097 games)
  • Blitz: 56.8% win rate (3,693 games)
  • Rapid: 56.3% win rate (690 games)
  • Classical: 51.2% win rate (19 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (246 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (179 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (68 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (688 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.9% expected score (356 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (93 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (1,119 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 62.4% expected score (599 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 63.3% expected score (123 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (1,264 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (764 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (155 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (1,009 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (811 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.0% expected score (149 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (901 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (609 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (77 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (564 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (282 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (276 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 65.5% expected score (89 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (30 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Mikenas Defense
51.6%
Variations (2)
Mikenas Defense: Cannstatter Variation
52.5%
Mikenas Defense: Lithuanian Variation
42.4%
Analyze Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate?

The Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.6%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit perform best?

The Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 57.3% win rate for white (2.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (56.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (57.5%) by -0.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit?

The Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 499 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 52.6%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 57.0% (90% CI: 55.1%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 57.3% (90% CI: 55.6%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 53.5%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 52.6%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 870 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 55.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 369 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.4%-55.5%) win rate for white (6.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 56.8% (90% CI: 55.4%-58.1%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit has a 56.3% (90% CI: 53.2%-59.4%) win rate for white (690 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit a good opening?

The Mikenas Defense: Pozarek Gambit is statistically favors white with a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.6%-56.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.