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Analyzer

Latvian Gambit

25 variations · 2.7M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Latvian Gambit is balanced for White at 50.4% expected score.

This opening produces roughly even results, with outcomes depending more on middlegame play than opening choice.

You play
Playable
Rating
Time
White Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 50.4%Aggregated from 25 variations
0%50.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 50.4%
ContextOverall · n=2.7M
Outcome Distribution
48.9%2.9%48.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...f5
Latvian Gambit
Variations25
Games (Context)2.7M
Avg Length30 moves
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Latvian Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

Overall, the Latvian Gambit family has a 50.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.3% and 50.4%), aggregated from 25 variations and 2.7M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.7% win rate (137,074 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.9% win rate (212,706 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.1% win rate (326,206 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.3% win rate (430,111 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.2% win rate (528,009 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (543,103 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.9% win rate (321,941 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.3% win rate (138,990 games)
  • 2500+: 49.9% win rate (16,242 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in Bullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.5% win rate (8,607 games)
  • Bullet: 47.8% win rate (1,040,179 games)
  • Blitz: 49.2% win rate (1,269,696 games)
  • Rapid: 51.5% win rate (323,385 games)
  • Classical: 53.8% win rate (12,515 games)

Rating vs Time Control Matrix

Click cells to filter · White expected scores

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (267 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (39,603 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (63,890 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (33,052 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 59.5% expected score (262 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (521 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (66,426 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (103,675 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (41,214 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 59.9% expected score (870 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (1,075 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (112,579 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (154,153 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (56,721 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (1,678 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (3,400 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (144,111 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (217,244 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (62,199 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.2% expected score (3,157 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 58.1% expected score (2,118 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (191,334 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (273,603 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (57,222 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (3,732 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.6% expected score (620 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (221,916 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (270,312 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (48,010 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (2,245 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (302 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (156,289 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (143,248 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (21,578 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (524 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (269 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (94,100 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (41,253 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (3,322 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 65.1% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (13,821 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (2,318 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (67 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.

Variations (25)

1
Latvian Gambit: Corkscrew Countergambit9.7K games
56.8%
2
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Leonhardt Variation5.3K games
56.5%
3
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense86K games
54.0%
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack54K games
53.5%
Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation34K games
52.5%
Latvian Gambit692K games
51.3%
Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation355K games
51.0%
Latvian Gambit: Mason Countergambit239K games
50.8%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bronstein Attack19K games
51.0%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation52K games
50.7%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Foltys Variation1.5K games
51.8%
Latvian Gambit Accepted863K games
49.6%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack8.9K games
50.0%
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Polerio-Svedenborg Variation42K games
48.8%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Foltys-Leonhardt Variation7.7K games
48.2%
Latvian Gambit: Fraser Defense53K games
47.3%
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Strautins Gambit1.0K games
49.2%
Latvian Gambit: Clam Gambit58K games
46.3%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Main Line56K games
46.1%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bronstein Gambit263 games
50.6%
Latvian Gambit: Diepstraten Countergambit975 games
46.9%
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation3.9K games
42.2%
Latvian Gambit: Corkscrew Gambit10K games
38.5%
Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit141 games
39.8%
Latvian Gambit: Behting Variation1.2K games
32.1%
Analyze Latvian Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Latvian Gambit win rate?

The Latvian Gambit family has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-48.9%) win rate for white, aggregated from 25 variations and 2.7M rated games from Lichess.

How many Latvian Gambit variations are there?

This analysis covers 25 Latvian Gambit variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.

At what rating does the Latvian Gambit perform best?

The Latvian Gambit family performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 51.7% win rate for white (137K games). Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Latvian Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (53.8%) outperforms Bullet (47.8%) by 6.0% across all Latvian Gambit variations.

How sharp is the Latvian Gambit?

Latvian Gambit games are 97.1% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 30 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Latvian Gambit a good opening family?

The Latvian Gambit family is statistically balanced overall with a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-48.9%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 25 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.