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Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation

355K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 51.1%Based on 355K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 51.1%
Outcome Distribution
49.5%2.8%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Nc3
Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation
Analyzen=355K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 51.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 51.1%), based on 355K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.8% win rate (18,464 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.7% win rate (29,181 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.2% win rate (45,115 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.1% win rate (58,073 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.9% win rate (69,364 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.3% win rate (71,336 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (42,703 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.6% win rate (18,111 games)
  • 2500+: 49.9% win rate (2,349 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in Bullet (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.5% win rate (2,042 games)
  • Bullet: 48.5% win rate (170,229 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (144,569 games)
  • Rapid: 52.5% win rate (36,544 games)
  • Classical: 53.5% win rate (1,312 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.1% expected score (64 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (5,942 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (8,314 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (4,113 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.6% expected score (110 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (10,045 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (13,741 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (5,183 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (102 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (245 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (16,785 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (20,532 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (7,357 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (196 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.2% expected score (769 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (21,704 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (27,187 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (8,055 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (358 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.0% expected score (532 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (30,665 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (31,651 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (6,095 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (421 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 69.4% expected score (174 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (39,246 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (27,606 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (4,132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (178 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.4% expected score (62 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (28,545 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (12,614 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,456 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (63 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (15,078 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (2,817 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (153 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 68.4% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (2,219 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (107 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Latvian Gambit
49.8%
Variations (5)
Latvian Gambit: Behting Variation
30.8%
Latvian Gambit: Clam Gambit
44.6%
Latvian Gambit: Corkscrew Countergambit
55.7%
Latvian Gambit: Corkscrew Gambit
37.7%
Latvian Gambit: Diepstraten Countergambit
45.4%
Analyze Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate?

The Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 355K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation perform best?

The Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (18K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (52.5%) outperforms Bullet (48.5%) by 4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation?

The Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 69K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 71K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.2%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-54.3%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.7%) win rate for white (170K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.1%) win rate for white (145K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.0%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 51.2%-55.7%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation a good opening?

The Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.