What is the Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit expected score for White?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit has a 39.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 33.2% and 46.7%), based on 141 Lichess games.
Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit
141 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Tough SellWhite Expected Score39.8%Range (90% confident): 33.2% – 46.7%Based on 141 games
0%39.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 33.2% – 46.7%
Outcome Distribution
36.8%6.0%57.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.g4
Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit
Analyzen=141
Avg Length25 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.0%
White Win% by Rating
Declines with rating: 36% → 20%
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 35.9% win rate (50 games)
- 1000-1199: 40.4% win rate (22 games)
- 1200-1399: 30.4% win rate (10 games)
- 1400-1599: 20.0% win rate (16 games)
- 1600-1799: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
- 1800-1999: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
- 2000-2199: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
- 2200-2499: 51.1% win rate (21 games)
- 2500+: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in Blitz (50%), worst in Classical (20%)
UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- UltraBullet: 29.4% win rate (7 games)
- Bullet: 24.7% win rate (37 games)
- Blitz: 50.4% win rate (63 games)
- Rapid: 27.5% win rate (33 games)
- Classical: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | — | ||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.3% expected score (22 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 19.3% expected score (5 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Latvian Gambit49.8%
Analyze Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit win rate?
The Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit has a 36.8% (90% CI: 30.3%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 141 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit perform best?
The Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 35.9% win rate for white (50 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
How sharp is the Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit?
The Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 25 moves.
Is the Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit a good opening?
The Latvian Gambit: Lobster Gambit is slightly favors black with a 36.8% (90% CI: 30.3%-43.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.